Yeah—harsh truth: a huge percentage of altcoins won’t make it. Maybe not exactly 90% every cycle, but the idea behind that number is pretty real. Look at past cycles—thousands of coins showed up, pumped, and then just… faded. No users, no revenue, no reason to exist once hype disappeared. Why it hapRead more
Yeah—harsh truth: a huge percentage of altcoins won’t make it. Maybe not exactly 90% every cycle, but the idea behind that number is pretty real.
Look at past cycles—thousands of coins showed up, pumped, and then just… faded. No users, no revenue, no reason to exist once hype disappeared.
Why it happens:
Most altcoins are built on narratives, not real demand. When the market is hot, funding is easy and everyone launches a project. But when things cool down, only the ones with actual usage, strong teams, and real liquidity survive.
Another issue is competition. Even if a project is decent, it’s fighting hundreds of similar coins doing the same thing. Only a few winners take most of the attention and capital.
Also, tokenomics kill a lot of projects. Early investors and insiders dump over time, and retail ends up holding the bag.
What usually survives:
Coins with real utility, strong ecosystems, and consistent development. Stuff that people actually use, not just trade.
What usually dies:
Hype-driven tokens, copy-paste projects, and anything that depends only on marketing instead of product.
So the smarter way to think about it isn’t “which alt will explode,” but “which ones can still be around next cycle.”
If you treat most altcoins as temporary trades—not long-term holds—you’ll already be ahead of how most people play it.
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If you want the real, no-BS answer—it’s not either/or forever, it’s a cycle. But right now, it usually starts with Bitcoin dominance before any real altcoin season kicks off. Here’s how it typically plays out: Phase 1: Bitcoin runs firstMoney flows into Bitcoin because it’s seen as the “safer” cryptRead more
If you want the real, no-BS answer—it’s not either/or forever, it’s a cycle. But right now, it usually starts with Bitcoin dominance before any real altcoin season kicks off.
Here’s how it typically plays out:
Phase 1: Bitcoin runs first
Money flows into Bitcoin because it’s seen as the “safer” crypto. Big players, institutions, and cautious investors start there. Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) goes up.
Phase 2: Ethereum follows
Once Bitcoin cools off a bit, money rotates into Ethereum. People start taking more risk.
Phase 3: Altcoin season
After BTC and ETH have already moved, profits start flowing into smaller altcoins. That’s when you see those crazy 5x–20x moves. This is what people call “alt season.”
Where we usually are (in most cycles):
If Bitcoin is still leading and making strong moves, alt season hasn’t fully started yet. Altcoins might pump here and there, but a true alt season is when:
Quick reality check:
My straight take:
If you’re early in a cycle → Bitcoin dominance wins
If you’re mid-to-late cycle → altcoin season shows up
But chasing alt season too early is where most people get wrecked.
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