Bitcoin dominance or altcoin season?
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If you want the real, no-BS answer—it’s not either/or forever, it’s a cycle. But right now, it usually starts with Bitcoin dominance before any real altcoin season kicks off.
Here’s how it typically plays out:
Phase 1: Bitcoin runs first
Money flows into Bitcoin because it’s seen as the “safer” crypto. Big players, institutions, and cautious investors start there. Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) goes up.
Phase 2: Ethereum follows
Once Bitcoin cools off a bit, money rotates into Ethereum. People start taking more risk.
Phase 3: Altcoin season
After BTC and ETH have already moved, profits start flowing into smaller altcoins. That’s when you see those crazy 5x–20x moves. This is what people call “alt season.”
Where we usually are (in most cycles):
If Bitcoin is still leading and making strong moves, alt season hasn’t fully started yet. Altcoins might pump here and there, but a true alt season is when:
Quick reality check:
My straight take:
If you’re early in a cycle → Bitcoin dominance wins
If you’re mid-to-late cycle → altcoin season shows up
But chasing alt season too early is where most people get wrecked.